1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China this week was temporarily stable. This week, the average ex factory price of mainstream carbide manufacturers was 2713.33 yuan / ton, up 1.62% year on year. Overall, this week’s calcium carbide market was temporarily stable, with the calcium carbide commodity index at 71.09 on January 3.

2、 Trend analysis

（1） Products:

The ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China this week is temporarily stable: the price of calcium carbide in oveganeng this weekend is 2620 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; the price of calcium carbide in Shaanxi coal industry this weekend is 2500 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; the price of calcium carbide in China United Inner Mongolia this week is 2820 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; the price of calcium carbide in Xingping Ningxia this weekend is 2700 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week In comparison, the offer is stable for the time being.

This weekend, the actual transaction price of carbide in Northwest China is about 2500-2800 yuan / ton: the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Shaanxi is about 2500-2600 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Ningxia is about 2700 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 2800 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.

（2） Industrial chain:

Upstream raw material Market: the ex factory quotation of Lancan is temporarily stable this week, and the quotation of small materials is 730.00 yuan / ton. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low and consolidated, and the cost support is insufficient, which has a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Downstream market: PVC factory price fell slightly this week. PVC price decreased from 6925.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 6850.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 1.08%, up 4.98% year on year. Although the downstream PVC market fell slightly this week, but compared with last year, the price is higher, and downstream customers are more active in purchasing calcium carbide. As a whole, PVC market this week has a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.

3、 Future forecast

After the adjustment in December, the capital return of each plant is in good condition, the equipment maintenance is completed, and the production capacity is increased. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low, and the cost support is not enough, but the PVC market in the downstream is good, and customers in the downstream are more active in purchasing calcium carbide. The future market forecasts that the price of calcium carbide in the northwest may rise in shock in the first ten days of January.