1、 Price trend
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of August 28th, the reference average price of the domestic urea market was 1717 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5.24% from the reference average price of 1812 yuan/ton on August 1st.
2、 Market analysis
Supply and demand situation
The domestic urea market has been weak and declining this month. In the first half of this month, the domestic urea market prices mainly declined. The urea futures market price has fallen, and the spot market has followed the weakening trend of the futures market. The urea market has sufficient supply but relatively weak demand. In mid month, the domestic urea market price slightly increased. Market inventory remains high, and futures prices are rising. At the end of this month, the domestic urea market prices rapidly declined. The futures market is not performing well, and the agricultural demand for urea in autumn has entered the off-season. The trading atmosphere in the urea market has weakened, with a small amount of downstream purchases and no significant improvement in demand.
market situation
As of August 28th, the urea market prices in Shandong are around 1680-1720 yuan/ton, Hebei is around 1690-1730 yuan/ton, Henan is around 1660-1720 yuan/ton, and Liaoning is around 1740 yuan/ton.
According to the weekly K-bar chart from June 2, 2024 to August 18, 2025, it can be seen that the domestic urea cycle is characterized by ups and downs. Domestic urea fell significantly in August, with the largest drop being -1.1% in the week of August 4th.
3、 Future forecast
Business Society’s urea analyst believes that the urea market has rebounded slightly after a continuous decline in recent days. At present, the supply of urea in the market is still at a high level, the demand for agriculture is weakening, and downstream demand is mainly replenished, resulting in low purchasing enthusiasm. It is expected that the domestic urea market will experience a weak consolidation and operation in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the average price of ammonium sulfate in the domestic market was 1086 yuan/ton on August 27th, and 1140 yuan/ton on August 1st. This month, the market price of ammonium sulfate has dropped by 4.68%.
2、 Market analysis
The ammonium sulfate market has declined this month. This month, the supply of ammonium sulfate market is sufficient, downstream inquiries have decreased, procurement enthusiasm has weakened, and the market transaction atmosphere is light. The export market is not performing well, with pressure on enterprise shipments and a sluggish ammonium sulfate market. As of August 27th, the mainstream ex factory quotation for coking grade ammonium sulfate in Shandong region is around 1000 yuan/ton. Domestic grade ammonium sulfate, the mainstream ex factory quotation in Shandong region is around 1025-1080 yuan/ton.
According to the weekly K-bar chart from June 2, 2025 to August 18, 2025, it can be seen that the domestic ammonium sulfate cycle is fluctuating. The domestic price of ammonium sulfate fell significantly in August, with the largest drop being 1.11% in the week of August 11th.
3、 Future forecast
An ammonium sulfate analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the price of ammonium sulfate in China has been stable but declining recently. At present, the atmosphere of inquiries in the ammonium sulfate market has weakened, and market transactions are poor. There has been no improvement in domestic and international demand, and downstream wait-and-see sentiment has increased. It is expected that the domestic ammonium sulfate market will be weak in the short term, mainly due to consolidation and operation.

At the end of August, the overall ABS market continued to be weak, with some grades experiencing a decline in spot prices. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of August 26th, the average price of ABS sample products was 10150 yuan/ton, with a price level increase or decrease of -1.58% compared to early August.

Fundamental analysis
Supply level: Since August, the domestic ABS industry has seen an increase in load before leveling off. The Dalian plant restarted in the first half of the month, and the Tianjin equipment pipeline blowing task ended. At the end of the month, the equipment dynamics were limited, and the overall industry load level remained at 71% of mid month. The weekly average output was around 140000 tons, which remained stable. The inventory level of aggregation enterprises increased at a high level of 230000 tons, and the supply on site remained abundant. Overall, the long-term loose supply pattern in the ABS market remains unchanged, and the high inventory levels in the industry are relatively controllable. But Zhenjiang Qimei and Liaoning Jinfa have heard that there is a plan to increase the load, and the supply side is expected to continue to be loose. Therefore, the supply side has weak support for ABS spot prices.
Cost factor: At the end of August, the ABS upstream three material market had a relatively narrow change, which had limited impact on the cost side support of ABS. Acrylonitrile is operating in a stalemate within the interval, and Zhejiang Petrochemical has increased production, resulting in an increase in on-site supply. The main force in consumption lies in contract delivery, while spot market trading is sluggish, leading to increased pressure on local inventory. Combined with the decline in the raw material propylene market, it is expected that acrylonitrile may continue to remain weakly stable in the short term.
The domestic butadiene market fluctuated slightly at the end of August. In mid month, the Fushun petrochemical plant underwent maintenance, and at the same time, after a period of digestion of port cargo, low-priced spot goods in the market decreased, and the atmosphere of the spot market began to improve. On the other hand, the rise in downstream rubber futures has boosted the market, and positive news is transmitted upwards. The overall performance of the butadiene market is biased towards positive, with a narrow range of price increases.
Recently, there has been a narrow rebound in styrene. In terms of raw material pure benzene, downstream procurement is coming to an end at the end of the month, and the pressure on middlemen to ship has increased, resulting in a downward trend in transaction volume and average support for styrene. At present, the production profit of styrene is still acceptable, and the supply remains high due to high production. However, high port inventory limits the rise of styrene. Without significant changes on a macro level, it is expected that the styrene market will experience weak fluctuations in the short term.
On the demand side: In the medium to long term, the downstream factories of ABS have had average loads. The current market is in a period of transition between peak and off peak seasons, and terminal enterprises have not seen any improvement in procurement. The logic is still to maintain the demand for supplementary orders. In mid August, the production schedule of the electrical casing industry further decreased and consumption shrank. Without significant changes on a macro level, the cautious atmosphere in the external market remains unchanged, and the flow rate of goods is slow. Domestic inventory levels remain high and sideways, with continued loose supply and ample room for on-site turnover. Overall, there has been no improvement in the demand side’s support for the ABS market.
Future forecast
At the end of August, the domestic ABS market was weakly consolidating. The overall changes in the upstream three materials are not significant, while the production load of the ABS polymerization plant remains flat, and the demand side’s off-season level remains unchanged. Analysts from Shengyi Society believe that the long-term drag on spot prices of ABS due to supply and demand contradictions makes it difficult for the market momentum to improve. It is expected that the ABS market will maintain a weak and stable consolidation trend in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of August 25th, the average quotation price of domestic high-quality DMF enterprises was 4110 yuan/ton, which remained stable compared to the same period last week. Currently, the price fluctuation range of DMF manufacturers is limited, and the focus of DMF market negotiations is stable, with a general purchasing atmosphere.
2、 Cause analysis
Market wise: DMF spot delivery price reference in the South China region: 4250-4350 yuan/ton in the Guangzhou market, with a stable focus. DMF bulk delivery price reference in the East China region: 4100-4300 yuan/ton in Jiangsu and 4150-4350 yuan/ton in Zhejiang. DMF bulk delivery price reference in the Shandong and North China markets: 3950-4150 yuan/ton.
Upstream: The market price of methanol in Xuzhou is based on the factory withdrawal of 2310-2320 yuan/ton, with a focus on contract execution in the early stage and market observation. The transaction price of domestically produced methanol in Changzhou is based on 2330 yuan/ton, and the market price of methanol in Xuzhou is based on the factory withdrawal of 2310-2320 yuan/ton. The contract execution in the early stage is mainly based on market observation.
3、 Future forecast
DMF analysts from Shengyi Society believe that the DMF market is expected to maintain its current trend in the short term, with insufficient upstream cost support, weak downstream demand, and limited price upward momentum.

1、 Price trend

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the price of bromine has been running steadily this week. The average market price at the beginning of the week was 29200 yuan/ton, and the average market price over the weekend was 29400 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 0.68% and a 42.03% increase compared to the same period last year. On August 21, the Business Society Bromine Index was 103.16, unchanged from yesterday, a decrease of 57.92% from the highest point of 245.18 points (2021-10-27) during the cycle, and an increase of 75.08% from the lowest point of 58.92 points on October 29, 2014. (Note: The cycle refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to present)
2、 Market analysis
This week, the price of bromine has remained strong, with a reference price of 28000-31000 yuan/ton for spot bromine production in Shandong region. Due to weather and policy reasons, bromine companies are facing tight inventory, and downstream companies are mainly in urgent need. In terms of raw materials, domestic sulfur prices have been rising, with an average market price of 2604.33 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 2617.67 yuan/ton over the weekend. The price has increased by 0.51%, which is 81.78% higher than the same period last year. Downstream demand is still acceptable.
Prediction: Bromine prices are expected to remain strong in the near future, with upstream sulfur prices rising. Bromine prices are expected to improve this week, while downstream demand is expected to increase. Overall market activity is moderate. It is expected that bromine will continue to consolidate and operate in the later period, depending on downstream market demand.

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, from August 13th to 20th, the domestic ethanol price fell to 5575 yuan/ton, with a price drop of 1.33% during the period, a month on month drop of 2.19%, and a year-on-year drop of 6.81%. The domestic ethanol market prices are running weakly, and factories have a positive attitude towards shipment, resulting in a decrease in quotations.

In terms of cost, the overall decline in corn prices is the main factor. The futures market has fallen, and market sentiment has changed. Port traders have lowered their quotes by 20-30 yuan, and the speed of port pickup is average. The downstream procurement mentality is cautious, and the overall focus is on consuming inventory. The cost of ethanol is influenced by bearish factors.
On the supply side, there is little fluctuation in the production of edible ethanol. The impact of ethanol supply is mixed.
On the demand side, from the demand side, the downstream Baijiu and chemical end have entered the traditional off-season, the demand for some chemical exports has improved, and the consumer side is expected to narrow down. Negative factors affecting ethanol demand.
The future forecast shows that the supply side will continue to increase, and the price of ethanol will be under pressure from the supply-demand game, with a mainly oscillating downward trend. The ethanol analyst from Shengyi Society predicts that the short-term ethanol market will mainly operate weakly.

1、 Price trend

According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price trend of soda ash continued to decline this week. As of August 18th, the average market price of soda ash was 1224 yuan/ton, a decrease of 28 yuan/ton compared to the price of 1252 yuan/ton on August 11th, a decrease of 2.24%.
2、 Market analysis
Recently, the soda ash market has been operating weakly. The number of supply side maintenance enterprises has decreased, the production of soda ash has increased, and manufacturers are actively shipping; The downstream demand performance is mediocre. Due to the continued weakness of glass prices, the market’s enthusiasm for purchasing soda ash is not high, and soda ash enterprises have accumulated inventory. The market supply is strong and demand is weak, and soda ash prices continue to decline. On August 18th, the price of light soda ash in East China was reduced by 10 yuan/ton, with a price range of 1130-1400 yuan/ton; The price of light soda ash in central China remains at 1140-1300 yuan/ton.
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the downstream glass market continues to decline. From August 11th to 18th, the price of glass decreased from 15.05 yuan/square meter to 14.28 yuan/square meter, a decrease of 5.12%. The glass market has stable production capacity, continuous inventory increase, average downstream demand follow-up, slow glass destocking, poor enterprise shipments, and a weak downward trend in glass prices.
Future forecast: Currently, the price trend of soda ash is downward, and the mentality of industry players is bearish. In terms of inventory, manufacturers have limited shipments and accumulated inventory. The downstream market is weak, and there is insufficient support for soda ash. It is expected that the soda ash market will mainly operate weakly in the later stage, and specific attention will be paid to downstream follow-up situations.

1、 Price trend

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of August 15th, the reference average price of domestic urea market was 1762 yuan/ton, which is 1.67% lower than the reference average price of 1792 yuan/ton on August 10th.
2、 Market analysis
market situation
This week, the domestic urea market prices have weakened and fallen. This week, the urea futures market prices have been weak and declining, and the spot market has followed the trend of the futures market to weaken. As of August 15th, the urea market prices in Shandong are around 1680-1780 yuan/ton, Hebei is around 1700-1780 yuan/ton, Henan is around 1650-1750 yuan/ton, Hubei is around 1740 yuan/ton, and Liaoning is around 1760 yuan/ton.
Supply and demand situation
This week, the domestic urea market is experiencing oversupply. On the supply side, during the maintenance of some urea plants this week, the daily production has decreased, but the market supply is still sufficient. In terms of demand, the agricultural demand for urea in autumn has entered the off-season, and downstream compound fertilizer manufacturers urgently need to purchase.
3、 Future forecast
Business Society’s urea analyst believes that the domestic urea market has been weak and declining recently. At present, the inventory of urea market is still high, downstream demand is poor, and procurement enthusiasm is not high. It is expected that in the short term, domestic urea prices will mainly experience a weak downward trend.

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, from August 11th to 15th, the domestic aggregated MDI market experienced a slight decline, with an average price of 15800 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 157160 yuan/ton at the end of the week, a decrease of 0.53% during the period and a year-on-year decrease of 9.24%. The factory started production steadily within the week, and the market transaction price slightly loosened. The transaction atmosphere is average, with many small and single households, and there is no change in the news coverage. Under the market supply and demand game, the aggregated MDI market fluctuates narrowly.
On the supply side, the maintenance of the 80000 ton/year MDI plant in Dongcao Rui’an will begin on July 23rd and is expected to last for about 35 days.

In terms of cost, the raw material pure benzene has slightly increased recently, while the price of aniline has remained stable this week, with limited impact on the polymerization of MDI.
On the demand side, downstream demand is average, the trading atmosphere is quiet, and transactions are mainly small orders.
Future forecast: The current transaction price of the aggregated MDI market is loose, and the focus is shifting downwards. With no obvious positive news to boost the market, it is expected that the aggregated MDI market will experience narrow fluctuations in the short term.

Price trend: High supply collides with weak demand, and the downward trend continues (8.8-8.14)
The supply side is loose, demand performance is mediocre, and the supply-demand gap continues to widen. On site inventory is under pressure, and companies are forced to lower prices to reduce inventory. Currently, the market is weakly stable and consolidating. According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, as of August 14th, the average price of dichloromethane in Shandong Province was 2040 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.69% during the week and a year-on-year drop of 27.14%.

analysis of influencing factors
Supply side: High operating rate, inventory pressure
The on-site supply is loose, and the overall operating rate of methane chloride plants in the industry has risen to around 85%, a high in the past six months. Downstream procurement is weak, and companies are reducing prices to reduce inventory. Currently, the pressure on manufacturers’ inventory is slightly easing.
Cost side: methanol drops, liquid chlorine rises, insufficient cost support
Due to the accumulation of methanol in ports and weak demand, the market fluctuated weakly during the week. As of August 14th, the benchmark price of methanol in Shengyi Society was 2373.33 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.42% during the cycle. Downstream demand for liquid chlorine has improved, with a slight increase in prices, but limited support for dichloromethane.
On the demand side: seasonal suppression, with rigid procurement as the main focus
From August to September, the production scale of the air conditioning industry decreased to around 12 million units on a month on month basis. The pre-sales demand for refrigerants R32 and R410A was reduced in the short term, and procurement was cautious. Due to the summer maintenance of enterprises, demand for pharmaceutical and pesticide solvents has contracted in the short term. The adhesive industry has been dragged down by the construction industry, resulting in a year-on-year decline in orders. Overall demand in August may be weaker than in July. Under the expectation of the “Golden September” peak season, the willingness of enterprises to stock up has increased, providing strong support for the dichloromethane market.
Future prospects
If the demand is difficult to improve, the price may hit bottom again and explore the 2000 yuan/ton mark. If supply tightens or exports increase, the market may rebound slightly.