According to the data monitoring of business association, the domestic cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber market continued to be weak during the week (5.10-5.14), with the price at 12310 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week and 12120 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 1.54%.

This week (5.10-5.14), the domestic cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber market declined, the ex factory price of the manufacturers was low before the festival, and the ex factory price of the manufacturers increased by 200 yuan / ton after the festival. According to the monitoring of the business society, as of May 14, the ex warehouse price of Daqing cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber of PetroChina Northeast sales company was 12200 yuan / ton; According to the business news agency, the mainstream price of Shunding market in Daqing, Qilu and Yanshan is around 12000-12200 yuan / ton.

The supply side increased slightly during the stable period. According to the business news agency, the start of domestic cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber plant changed this week. Yantai Haopu’s 60000 T / a cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber plant was shut down for maintenance on the 12th, and the maintenance time was about 10 days; Yanshan Petrochemical’s 150000 T / a Shunding unit is being restarted gradually.

enterprise Plant capacity Commencement

Yantai Haopu 60000 tons / year parking

Shandong Wanda 50000 tons / year normal operation

Qi xiangtengda 50000 tons / year normal operation

Qilu Petrochemical 70000 tons / year normal operation

Sichuan Petrochemical 150000 tons / year normal operation

Maoming Petrochemical 100000 tons / year parking

yanshan petrochemical 150000 tons / year restart

Yangzi Petrochemical 100000 / year parking

Huayu rubber 80000 tons / year parking

Taixiang Yubu 72000 / year normal operation

Dushanzi Petrochemical 30000 / year normal operation

Lande, Xinjiang 50000 / year normal operation

Daqing Petrochemical 160000 / year normal operation

Liaoning Shengyou 30000 / year parking

Jinzhou Petrochemical 30000 / year normal operation

Shandong Huamao 100000 / year Stop, plan to restart in June

Zhejiang ChuanHua 100000 / year Normal operation, scheduled for maintenance in May

The price of butadiene decreased slightly and the support of cost side was weak. According to the monitoring of business news agency, as of May 14, the price of butadiene was 6848 yuan / ton, down 0.12% from 6840 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week.

Natural rubber prices fell sharply, forming a short atmosphere for styrene butadiene rubber. According to the monitoring of business news agency, as of May 14, the price of domestic natural rubber was 12875 yuan / ton, down 8.30% compared with 14040 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week.

Future forecast: business analysts believe that the lower prices of natural rubber and butadiene and the formation of a strong negative for cis-1,4-polybutadiene, but some cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber enterprises have maintenance plans in the later stage, the pressure on the supply side is not big, coupled with a significant decline in the early stage, cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber is expected to be stable in the short term.

This week (5.10-5.14) NBR market showed a weak rebound. According to the monitoring of business community, as of May 14, the price of NBR was 20600 yuan / ton, which was 0.49% higher than the price of 20500 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week.

This week, the domestic nitrile rubber rebounded slightly, which was the weak rebound in the sharp decline since April. On the one hand, the price of NBR has dropped by 8.98% since April. After a month of continuous decline, the quotation of some NBR varieties increased in May. According to the monitoring of business agency, as of May 14, the factory price of NBR n41e of Lanzhou Petrochemical Company was 17700 yuan / ton; At present, 3305e offers 18800 yuan / ton; At present, 3308e offers 19700 yuan / ton. On the other hand, the downstream construction is stable, the main consumption is inventory, the inquiry is not active, and it is difficult to form a strong rebound for the lack of support for NBR. According to the monitoring of business news agency, on the 14th, the mainstream of Lanhua’s NBR 3305 market is 20000 yuan / ton, the mainstream of Nandi 1052 market is 22600 yuan / ton, the mainstream of Russia’s 3365 market is 18300 yuan / ton, and the mainstream of South Korea’s lg6250 market is 18500 yuan / ton.

The price of butadiene decreased slightly and the support of cost side was weak. According to the monitoring of business news agency, as of May 14, the price of butadiene was 6848 yuan / ton, down 0.12% from 6840 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week.

Future forecast: NBR analysts of business community believe that the cost side and demand side are weak, and the supply side has little pressure. It is expected that the NBR market will be weak in the future.

Trade name: dichloromethane

Latest price (May 12): 3663 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the monitoring of business news agency, the price of dichloromethane in Shandong was 3663 yuan / ton on the 12th, up 1.10% from the previous day. This week, the factory prices of some dichloromethane manufacturers in Shandong increased. According to the monitoring of the business agency, as of May 12, dichloromethane bulk water of Shandong Luxi Chemical Co., Ltd. had been delivered in cash at 3730 yuan / ton; Shandong Jinling dichloromethane bulk water ex works at 3630 yuan / ton; Shandong Dongyue dichloromethane bulk water ex factory in cash at 3730 yuan / ton. It is reported that a few manufacturers have plans to overhaul their devices in the near future. The bullish atmosphere of the market has increased slightly. Coupled with the stable demand in the downstream, the price of dichloromethane has risen slightly.

Future forecast: after the festival, the price of raw material liquid chlorine in Shandong fell sharply, and the cost was dragged by dichloromethane; However, the maintenance plan of methane chloride in the later period will provide some support for dichloromethane, and it is expected that the dichloromethane will still be mainly explored in the later period.

Trade name: calcium carbide

Latest price (May 10): 4716.67 yuan / ton

On May 10, the ex factory quotation of calcium carbide in Northwest China rose by 100 yuan / ton, or 2.17%, compared with the quotation on May 7. The price of raw material blue carbon rose sharply, and the cost of calcium carbide was well supported. Downstream PVC market also rose slightly in the near future, downstream customers’ enthusiasm for calcium carbide procurement rose.

It is expected that the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China will rise slightly: the average price quoted by manufacturers is about 4800 yuan / ton.

According to the data monitored by the business community, the PP market in April fell on the whole, and the spot prices of various brands decreased to a certain extent. As of April 30, the mainstream offer price of T30S (wire drawing) of domestic manufacturers and traders was about 8683.33 yuan / ton, a decrease of 3.34% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month, and a rise of 14.76% compared with the same period last year.

Cause analysis

PP upstream propylene domestic market continued to rise in the first ten days of April, and the price dropped sharply in the last ten days. The overall increase was 1.28%, with a monthly high of 8.49% at 8619 yuan / ton on April 24. In the second half of March, the price of propylene dropped sharply. In early April, the market continued to pick up and the price rose slowly. In the latter half of the year, the domestic market was significantly affected by the decline of propylene in the external market. At present, there is no pressure in propylene market, and some units are still under maintenance. The supply of goods in Shandong is a little tight. Downstream operating rate is fair, the market is more than empty.

April PP raw material propylene market trend amplitude is wide, PP cost side support fluctuation operation. The recent PP market to undertake the industry high load environment, the first quarter of this year, the domestic polypropylene plant overall average operating rate of 93%, located in the historical high area. The competition in the industry is strengthened, and the profit of some PP polymerization enterprises is inverted. In addition, in recent years, China is still in the stage of rapid expansion of polypropylene production capacity. Before the domestic production line was put into production, there was a certain degree of contradiction between supply and demand in PP market in April. The increase of overseas orders had less impact on the market than expected. The high price of goods depressed the purchasing enthusiasm of downstream users. In the latter half of the year, the business operation gradually turned to let the profit go. Business analysts believe that the increase in trading resistance is one of the main reasons for the decline in April.

In terms of fiber materials, according to the data monitored by the business society, as of April 30, the mainstream offer of domestic producers and traders Z30S (fiber) was similar to that of wire drawing materials, with a price of about 8816.67 yuan / ton, a decrease of 4.34% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month, and a rise of 3.73% compared with the same period last year. In April, the fiber PP production scheduling decreased compared with the previous period, and the proportion of recent production scheduling continued to fluctuate. At present, the demand of fiber PP is stable, which is not the same as that of the same period last year. The direct downstream spunbonded non-woven industry competition is strengthened, and the reduction of the profit of the production traders makes the decrease of the fiber material spot is larger than that of the drawing material.

Melt blown materials, melt blown PP market in April down, spot price has been stable in the level of 10000 yuan. As of April 30, the average quotation of pph-y1500 sample enterprises monitored by business society was about 10800 yuan / ton. At present, the domestic epidemic situation is generally stable, the new situation in some areas has no obvious pulling effect on the demand for medical protective equipment, and the saturation situation of domestic epidemic prevention materials is relatively stable. The overseas epidemic situation is still the same, especially the epidemic situation in some Asian Pacific countries is gradually deepening in the near future, which may increase the pressure of epidemic prevention work in neighboring countries and regions in the future. But on the whole, the domestic melt blown fabric manufacturing market has high saturation, strong competition and scattered profits. It is expected that the melt blown PP market will continue to be stable.

Future forecast

PP analysts of business news agency think: in April, domestic PP demand performance was poor, downstream factory profit space was compressed, the bearish attitude in the market was heavy, and the spot market trend fell. At the end of the month, social inventory was low, indicating that supply side pressure was reduced. The upstream propylene price fluctuated in a wide range. The price recovered at the end of April and the beginning of May, and the support for PP cost side was acceptable. But about the end of May, PP production unit involves 750000 tons of production capacity. At the moment of insufficient recovery of terminal demand, the yard is likely to be affected by increased competition pressure in the near future. It is expected that in the short term, PP prices may rise due to upstream support. In the medium and long term, there may be room for decline.

According to the monitoring of the business community, the market price of phthalic anhydride in China rose in April. By the end of the month, the price of phthalic anhydride was 6500 yuan / ton, 6.78% higher than the price of 6087.5 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, and 38.67% higher than the same period last year. Recently, the price trend of phthalic anhydride rose, the spot supply was normal, and the market price of phthalic anhydride was higher.

In April, the market price of phthalic anhydride rose, and the delivery situation of phthalic anhydride market was general. In the near future, the downstream demand was normal, the price of o-benzene rose, and the plasticizer market rose, which was supported by the favorable situation. The domestic phthalic anhydride manufacturers have little change in operation. The operating rate of phthalic anhydride on the site is about 60%. The domestic phthalic anhydride spot supply is normal. The price of phthalic anhydride on the site has increased. The downstream plasticizer industry market has recovered, and the actual transaction situation is general. The price trend of phthalic anhydride market in East China rose, and the high-end transactions in the market were limited. In East China, the mainstream of negotiation on the supply of neighboring France was 6400-6600 yuan / ton, and the mainstream of negotiation on the supply of naphthalene was 6200-6400 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation of phthalic anhydride market in North China is 6500-6600 yuan / ton. The wait-and-see mentality of phthalic anhydride market still exists, and the downstream is mainly purchased on demand. Recently, the market trend of downstream DOP is rising. Affected by this, the market price of phthalic anhydride is rising.

Since April, the domestic price of o-benzene has been rising, with the floor price rising to 5900 yuan / ton, or 9.26%. The domestic price rising of o-benzene is a good support for the phthalic anhydride market. In addition, the import price of o-benzene in the port area is rising, and the external quotation of o-benzene is rising. Recently, the inventory of o-benzene in the port area is high, and the external quotation of o-benzene is rising. The actual transaction price is subject to negotiation, The price trend of o-benzene rose sharply, the price of raw material o-benzene rose, which was good for the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride. The market price of phthalic anhydride rose in April.

In April, the market price of phthalic anhydride downstream DOP rose. According to the monitoring of business society, by the end of the month, the domestic DOP price was 12475 yuan / ton, with an increase of 8.01% in April. The equipment of DOP enterprises in the yard started normally. With the price of isooctanol rising sharply, the cost of DOP increased, and the DOP price went up privately. DOP enterprises started normal, the spot supply was sufficient, and the momentum of DOP rising in the future was weakened. In the future, the cost of DOP decreased, the operating rate of enterprises increased, the support of DOP rise weakened, and the high price caused too much pressure on the cost of downstream products. The downstream customers were more resistant to the high price of DOP. The transaction price was based on the real-time price. The overall DOP price was about 12300-12700 yuan / ton. In April, the downstream market improved, and the price of phthalic anhydride market was higher.

In general, the recent trend of crude oil price is relatively strong. In addition, the downstream plasticizer industry continues to rise under great pressure. In addition, the recent trend of o-benzene price is stable. It is expected that the market price of phthalic anhydride will decline slightly in the future.

1、 Price trend

According to the business news agency’s block data list, the average price of domestic hips on April 29 was 12933.33 yuan / ton, up 0.52% from the beginning of the week and 1.89% from the beginning of the month.

2、 Market analysis

Hips market rose first and then fell on the 22nd of this week, mainly affected by the price fluctuation of raw material styrene. At the beginning of the week, styrene continued to rise, with strong cost support, adding part of the PS plant to reduce the burden and output, which helped to boost the price of benzene through and benzene conversion. In the middle of the week, the styrene price callback led to the price loosening of hips, with a small drop. On the 29th, the one-day drop was 0.13%. There was a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the market, and the trading was flat. By the end of the 29th, the reference price of Ningbo Taihua 8250 was 12900 yuan / ton, up 100 yuan / ton from the beginning of the week, Guangzhou Petrochemical 660 was 13300 yuan / ton, up 100 yuan / ton from the beginning of the week, Zhanjiang Zhongmei 990 was 12600 yuan / ton, flat from the beginning of the week, and the overall market fluctuated little.

product manufactor Brand Price (yuan / ton)

HIPS Ningbo Taihua eight thousand two hundred and fifty twelve thousand and nine hundred

HIPS Guangzhou Petrochemical six hundred and sixty thirteen thousand and three hundred

HIPS Zhanjiang Zhongmei nine hundred and ninety twelve thousand and six hundred

International crude oil market: on April 28, the international oil price rose, and the settlement price of the main contract in the US WTI crude oil futures market was US $63.86/barrel, up US $0.92 or 1.5%. Brent crude oil futures market settlement price of the main contract at 66.78 U.S. dollars / barrel, or 0.91 U.S. dollars or 1.4%, on Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed that the U.S. distillate stocks fell sharply last week, refinery operating rate rose to the highest level in more than a year, boosting the market’s hope for the recovery of fuel demand in the world’s major economies.

On April 28, the reference price of styrene was 9800.00, up 11.79% compared with that on April 1 (8766.67). With the recovery of styrene price, the downstream acceptance of styrene declined, some markets began to resist, the transaction volume decreased, and the terminal demand continued to be weak. Plant restart and new production capacity are expected to suppress styrene rising space.

3、 Future forecast

According to the business community, the rise of raw material styrene was blocked, and the price of hips was lowered, which led to the price loosening of hips. The enthusiasm of downstream stock preparation before the festival was not high, and it still maintained the purchase of just needed goods. Therefore, the demand side support was general. It is expected that hips will be strong in the short term, with a small adjustment.

Trade name: br 9000

Latest price (April 28): 12090 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the monitoring of business society, the domestic price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber was 12090 yuan / ton on the 28th, down 1.39% compared with the previous day. The factory price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber decreased by 500 yuan / ton this week. According to the monitoring of business agency, as of April 28, the ex factory price of Qilu Shunding of Sinopec North China sales branch was 12000 yuan / ton; On the other hand, in the near future, the downstream purchase tends to Tianjiao, and Shunding’s inquiry is relatively light, and the merchants ship goods at a low price. According to the business news agency, as of April 28, the market offer of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber declined slightly. The mainstream offer of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber market of private brands such as Qixiang and ChuanHua was 11350-11500 yuan / ton, while the mainstream offer of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber market of Qilu and Daqing was 11800-12100 yuan / ton.

Future forecast: the price of natural rubber is relatively low, the impact of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber is short, and the demand is weak. It is expected that the price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber will continue to be weak in the future.

According to the data monitored by the business agency, as of April 27, the average quotation price of domestic premium DMF enterprises was 10766.67 yuan / ton. In April, the market price of DMF was like a roller coaster. In the first ten days of April, the price of DMF went up all the way, and the supply was short of demand, with an overall increase of 8.9%. In the second ten days of April, the price was like a slide, and the price went down sharply, Price support was weak, downstream demand was weak, and the overall price fell by 9.1%.

The market trend of DMF in April was ups and downs. In early April, the price of DMF changed from a stable small rise to a continuous big rise. The quoted price of enterprises once reached 12000 yuan / ton, which was difficult to alleviate the situation of short supply. In early April, the increase reached 8.9%, and the focus of negotiation was rising. In late April, the price of DMF began to decline, the price of upstream methanol fell, the cost of DMF lacked support, and the demand was insufficient, In terms of exports, the total export volume in the first quarter was 35200 tons, an increase of 10700 tons or 43.67% compared with 24500 tons in the same period of 2019. Recently, the domestic DMF market is stable, the willingness to prepare goods before the festival is not obvious, the transaction atmosphere is general, the focus of negotiation is weak, and the purchase is just needed,

Manufacturer / Region Specifications Quotation (yuan / ton) date

Hualu Hengsheng DMF ten thousand and seven hundred April 27th

Luxi Chemical DMF ten thousand and eight hundred April 27th

Shanxi coal sun and moon DMF ten thousand and eight hundred April 27th

Anyang Jiutian DMF ten thousand and eight hundred April 27th

Xinghua, Shaanxi DMF eleven thousand April 27th

At present, methanol in the upper reaches is mainly stable. The price rose in early April with a high center of gravity, and rose steadily in late April. According to the latest enterprise trends, the transaction price in Guanzhong area of Shaanxi Province is stable to 2260-2270 yuan / ton. There is no obvious transaction situation in the methanol market in Luzhong area of Shandong Province. The local reference price is 2400 yuan / ton, which is sent to the cash exchange nearby, The negotiation price of methanol market in southern Shandong increased by 40 yuan / ton to 2440-2450 yuan / ton, and the factory raised cash exchange. Linyi received the mainstream of local negotiation price to 2450 yuan / ton and sent it to cash exchange. The offer price of logistics goods is not much, the local supply is tight, and the downstream stock is ready, so the mentality of the industry is supported. Here is the methanol commodity index.

Business agency DMF analysts believe: it is expected that the DMF market will maintain a stable operation in the short term（ For more information on the latest industry chain, welcome to pay attention to official account of business community, obtain commodity information, and grasp commodity price.

Trade name: isooctanol

Latest price (April 26): 13933.33 yuan / ton

On April 26, the ex factory quotation of ISO octanol in Shandong increased by 33.33 yuan / ton, or 0.24%, compared with the quotation on April 23. The upstream propylene market rose slightly, the octanol cost supported well, the downstream DOP market was consolidated at a high level, the downstream purchasing enthusiasm was good, and the octanol supply was normal.

Recently, the ex factory price of ISO octanol in Shandong may rise slightly: the manufacturer’s quotation is about 14000 yuan / ton.