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Raw material pressure, polyoxymethylene price reduction

1、 Polyoxymethylene market price trend chart

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Price curve of paraformaldehyde

According to the monitoring of business society, the average price of polyoxymethylene last week was 5500 yuan / ton and this week was 5333 yuan / ton, down 3.03%.

2、 Market analysis

On August 9, Shandong aldehyde Industry Chemical Co., Ltd. had an annual output of 30000 tons of paraformaldehyde. The ex factory quotation of paraformaldehyde (96) including tax was 5300 yuan / ton, which was 300 yuan / ton lower than the previous one. Linyi Shengyang Chemical Co., Ltd. has an annual output of 9000 tons of paraformaldehyde. The ex factory quotation of paraformaldehyde (96) including tax is 5300 yuan / ton, which is 200 yuan / ton lower than the last time. Zibo Qixing Chemical Technology Co., Ltd. has an annual output of 10000 tons of paraformaldehyde. The ex factory quotation of paraformaldehyde (96) including tax is 5400 yuan / ton, which is the same as that last time. The price of raw methanol is weak, dragging down the price of paraformaldehyde, and the goods in the paraformaldehyde market are acceptable.

Methanol price trend chart

According to the monitoring of business agency, the average price of domestic methanol production enterprises in Shandong was 2585 yuan / ton on August 1, and the average price of domestic methanol production enterprises in Shandong was 2565 yuan / ton on August 12, down 0.77%. On May 12, the average price of domestic methanol production enterprises in Shandong was 2652 yuan / ton, and on August 12, the average price of domestic methanol production enterprises in Shandong was 2565 yuan / ton, down 3.30%.

3、 Future forecast

The drag on raw materials is obvious. Analysts of polyoxymethylene in business society expect that the price of polyoxymethylene may be dominated by weak operation.

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The price of potassium chloride was temporarily stable this week (8.2-8.6)

1、 Price trend

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As can be seen from the above figure, the comprehensive price of potassium chloride is temporarily stable this week. The average price of mainstream comprehensive quotation of potassium chloride this week is 3210.00 yuan / ton. Overall, the potassium chloride market was temporarily stable this week, and the potassium chloride commodity index was 101.90 on August 6.

2、 Market analysis

The quotation of mainstream potassium chloride manufacturers this week is temporarily stable: the factory quotation of Qinghai Salt Lake potassium chloride at the weekend is 3270 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui Badou potassium chloride has not been quoted this week. There is a tight supply of marketable potash fertilizer in China. Although the production enterprises are fully engaged in production, the operating rate is slightly low and the self-sufficiency rate is insufficient. At the same time, the delivery of international potash fertilizer suppliers is delayed and the arrival at the port is limited.

3、 Future forecast

In mid August, the overall trend of potassium chloride market may fluctuate slightly. The international demand for potash fertilizer is strong, but the domestic available supply is in short supply. Potassium chloride analysts of business society believe that the short-term potassium chloride market is dominated by high-level consolidation under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials.

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The market price of lithium hydroxide rose in early August

According to the bulk list data of business society, as of August 9, the average price of domestic industrial lithium hydroxide enterprises was 102000 yuan / ton, up 3.03% compared with August 1, 13.75% compared with July 9, and 21.91% year-on-year in a three-month cycle.

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In July, the overall trend of the domestic lithium hydroxide market rose steadily, and the price focus rose. As of July 31, the average price of domestic industrial lithium hydroxide enterprises was 99000 yuan / ton, an increase of 10.41% compared with the price in July 1 (89666.67 yuan / ton). The main reason for the price rise in the month was that the supply was reduced, the downstream demand performed better, the export orders increased month on month, the market supply and demand was in tight balance, and the enterprise quotation was increased due to the impact of the device maintenance of some manufacturers. In August, the lithium hydroxide market continued to rise. Recently, spodumene prices have risen, the cost is under pressure, some smelters are still in the maintenance period, the tight spot supply situation continues, the demand side performs well, and the market atmosphere is active, driving the price focus upward.

The average price of upstream lithium carbonate in East China was 91600 yuan / ton as of August 8, up 4.09% compared with the price at the beginning of the month, according to the data monitoring of business society. On August 8, the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate in East China was 94800 yuan / ton, an increase of 3.49% compared with the price at the beginning of the month.

According to the lithium hydroxide analysts of business society, in a comprehensive view, the price of spodumene at the raw material side is high, the cost side is under pressure, the tight spot supply pattern in the market continues, the favorable support at the supply side is strong, and the performance at the demand side is OK, which will boost the mentality of the industry. It is expected that the domestic industrial grade lithium hydroxide market may operate strongly in the short term, The specific trend needs to pay more attention to the guidance of market news.

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The price trend of hydrofluoric acid was temporarily stable this week (8.2-8.6)

According to the monitoring of business agency, the price trend of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid was temporarily stable this week. By the end of the week, the market price of hydrofluoric acid was 10030 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the week, with a year-on-year increase of 13.21%.

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The price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid was temporarily stable this week. Up to now, the mainstream price negotiated in various regions of domestic hydrofluoric acid has remained 9500-9800 yuan / ton. The quotation of some manufacturers is higher than the market price. The actual transaction market in the venue is weak, and the price of domestic hydrofluoric acid is mainly stable. Recently, the current supply of domestic hydrofluoric acid is supported, and the price trend in the venue is temporarily stable.

The domestic spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is normal, some hydrofluoric acid units in the site operate stably, and the upstream raw material price of hydrofluoric acid changes little. So far, the mainstream hydrofluoric acid negotiation in the south is 9500-9800 yuan / ton, and the hydrofluoric acid price in the northern market is 9400-9700 yuan / ton. Recently, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid market is mainly stable. The manufacturer reported that the recent delivery situation is normal, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is relatively stable.

The market price trend of hydrofluoric acid raw material fluorite is temporarily stable. By the end of the week, the domestic fluorite price was 2616.67 yuan / ton. The price trend this week is stable. Recently, the domestic spot supply of fluorite is normal, and the operation of domestic fluorite units is relatively normal. However, recently, the environmental protection supervision is strict, and the affected units in some areas are shut down. Generally speaking, there is little change in the supply in the field, The price trend of domestic fluorite was temporarily stable this week. Up to now, the mainstream of domestic fluorite negotiation is 2400-2600 yuan / ton. The high price of fluorite in the venue is the cost support of hydrofluoric acid market, and the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price is mainly affected and the trend is stable.

The domestic refrigerant market trend is mixed. Recently, the sales situation of the automobile industry is normal, the refrigerant market changes slightly, the demand is mainly purchased on demand, the trend of the refrigerant industry is stable, and the market of various types of refrigerants changes little. However, the manufacturer’s shipment is under pressure, the sales pressure is high, the price trend of raw hydrofluoric acid remains low, and some cost support is lost, The export volume of refrigerant has little change, the output of downstream air conditioning is low, the demand is scarce, the off-season effect of the after-sales market continues, and the refrigerant price remains stable temporarily. On the whole, the refrigerant market is dominated by negative factors, and the prices of hydrofluoric acid and chloroform are temporarily stable, resulting in pressure on the refrigerant industry. At present, the load of refrigerant R22 manufacturer is not high, the inventory is within a reasonable range, and the market price trend rises slightly, but the downstream receiving capacity is limited, there is a lot of wait-and-see mood, the shipment of goods holders is normal, some merchants still have the phenomenon of cost inversion, and the mainstream of on-site negotiation is 16000-17000 yuan / ton. Domestic R134a manufacturers operate at low load, and the price trend of R134a is declining. However, at present, the procurement is mainly on demand, the operation of downstream enterprises is not high, and traders are in a strong wait-and-see mood. At present, the market quotation of refrigerant R134a is mostly in the range of 20000-22000 yuan / ton, but the transaction atmosphere is general, the downstream refrigerant market is mainly stable, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is temporarily stable.

From the industrial chain chart, the price trend of fluorochemical industry is poor, the price of raw fluorite has little change, and the price trend of downstream refrigerant products is weak. However, recently, the domestic hydrofluoric acid unit has operated stably, the spot supply on the site is normal, and the downstream demand has little change. Chen Ling, hydrofluoric acid analyst of business society, believes that the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid may be stable temporarily.

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The textile industry is optimistic, and cotton prices rose sharply in July

1、 Price quotation

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According to the data of business agency, the cotton market rose sharply in July. On the 1st, the price of 3128b lint was about 16138 yuan / ton, and on the 31st, the price was about 17756 yuan / ton, an increase of 10.03% and 43.88% year-on-year in 2020.

2、 Market analysis

Domestic: in terms of spot, the market of China’s cotton price index 3128b rose. The price at the beginning of the month was 16091 yuan / ton, and the price at the end of the month was 17731 yuan / ton, up 1640 yuan / ton, or 10.19%. The national cotton inventory decreased month by month. As of June 30, the cotton industrial inventory of textile enterprises in the warehouse was 844600 tons, a decrease of 17800 tons compared with the end of last month; The total commercial cotton inventory in China was about 3.0173 million tons, down 15.67% month on month. The decline of cotton inventory shows that the operating rate of downstream textile enterprises remains high and the demand for raw materials is large.

In July, the national reserve cotton with a total volume of 600000 tons began bidding sales on July 5 and is planned to end on September 30. As of the end of July, the cumulative turnover was 191116.7431 tons, with a turnover rate of 100%, and the average transaction price was 16784 yuan / ton. The advantages of quality and price of reserve cotton resources for enterprises with tight raw material inventory have attracted the enthusiasm of enterprises to purchase, and the average price has risen sharply. In addition, the quota of 700000 tons of cotton import sliding tax has also been issued, which is lower than the market’s previous expectation of issuing 2 million tons. Compared with the quota issued in previous years, it is also relatively stable, and the upward risk of cotton price is reduced.

In terms of futures, the settlement price of Zheng Mian’s main contract on the 1st was 15890 yuan / ton, and the settlement price on the 30th was 17685 yuan / ton, up 1795 yuan / ton, up about 11.3%. According to the global production and demand forecast for July released by the U.S. Department of agriculture in the middle of the month, in 2021 / 22, the ending global cotton inventory will be reduced by 1.6 million bales month on month. Global consumption is expected to continue to recover, and the global cotton inventory consumption ratio continues to decline. Therefore, after the release of the report, the US cotton harvest rose, and the price of Zheng cotton rose.

International: according to the global cotton supply and demand forecast data of USDA in July, the total global cotton production increased month on month in 2021 / 22, the consumption increased significantly, the import and export trade volume decreased, and the ending inventory decreased again. In 2021 / 22, the domestic cotton output was 5.824 million tons, the superimposed import was 2.2177 million tons, and the throwing storage was 600000 tons. The total cotton supply in China was 8.601 million tons, while the current annual total demand predicted by USDA was 8.927 million tons, maintaining the pattern of supply exceeding demand, and the ending inventory is expected to decline.

3、 Downstream industry chain

By June 2021, the total retail sales of clothing, shoes and hats, needles and textiles in China had reached 117.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%. Benefiting from the recovery of market demand, textile enterprises have good orders, spinning profits continue to maintain a good state, and there is little operating pressure. From January to June, the yarn output was 13.558 million tons, with a year-on-year increase of 17.8%. Under the condition of high spinning profit, the upward support of cotton price is obvious. Due to the gradual increase of orders in autumn and winter, the operating rate of downstream weaving enterprises of textile enterprises has increased, the enterprises are optimistic about the future market, and there is a large demand for supplementary cotton raw materials. But at the same time, in the expectation of the peak consumption season, the market’s worries remain, the industrial chain shows signs of poor price transmission, and the grey cloth price has not been able to rise against this background. The future cotton market mainly depends on the demand side. It is expected that the cotton price may fluctuate in the short term.

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Monoammonium phosphate operated smoothly and diammonium phosphate increased slightly (7.26-7.30)

1、 Price trend

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According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 3300 yuan / ton on July 26 and 3300 yuan / ton on July 30. The price of monoammonium phosphate was stable this week.

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium phosphate was 3400 yuan / ton on July 26 and 3450 yuan / ton on July 30. The price of diammonium phosphate increased by 1.47% this week.

2、 Market analysis

The price of monoammonium phosphate was stable this week, and the operating rate of the enterprise was about 70%. Monoammonium phosphate continued the trend of last week, with a large amount of enterprises waiting for delivery and tight supply, and most enterprises suspended quotation. The factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in China is about 3300-3500 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of 58% powdered ammonium is about 3800 yuan / ton. Downstream purchase on demand and negotiate the actual price.

The price of diammonium phosphate rose slightly this week, and the operating rate of enterprises was about 57%. Enterprises have a large waiting volume, and most domestic enterprises suspend quotation. The factory quotation of 64% mainstream diammonium in Hubei is 3400-3600 yuan / ton, and that of 64% mainstream diammonium in North China is about 3600-3700 yuan / ton. At present, the industry has high enthusiasm and the market is developing upward.

At present, the domestic market of raw sulfur is running at a high level, and the production and sales of refineries in various regions are relatively stable. Domestic refineries operate normally, traders mainly purchase on demand, external prices are strong, and the mentality of on-site operators is good. The sulfur market will continue to be strong in the future, and the specific attention will be paid to the market transaction. The price of raw phosphate rock was stable this week, and the reference average price of 30% grade in mainstream areas in China was 550 yuan / ton.

3、 Future forecast

The ammonium phosphate analyst of the business society believes that at present, the ammonium phosphate Market is waiting for a large quantity, the price remains high, and the supply of goods is tight. Downstream on-demand procurement, ammonium phosphate has a good cost situation and strong cost support. It is expected that the ammonium phosphate market will continue to operate at a high level in the short term, and the price will rise steadily.

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It is not easy for polyacrylamide market to rise in the second half of July

Commodity index: on July 30, the polyacrylamide commodity index was 87.86, unchanged from yesterday, down 17.99% from the highest point 107.13 in the cycle (2019-05-08), and up 6.00% from the lowest point 82.89 on August 2, 2020( Note: period refers to 2019-04-01 to now)

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According to the data of business society, in late July, Gongyi, Henan, the main production area, experienced a severe rainstorm. The local water treatment enterprises stopped production for about a week and finally restarted production after the power was restored. However, it will take some time for the road to recover and the logistics transportation is blocked. The current inventory situation is different. Some raw materials are slightly tight and the price has an upward trend. Some trading enterprises have high inventory and small price reduction for shipment. From the data, the mainstream price on the 16th, that is, the monthly highest price, was 14460 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price on the 30th, that is, the lowest price of 14380 yuan / ton this month, down 0.55% in the first half of the month, with a small price fluctuation.

The manager of Henan Kaijie water treatment Co., Ltd. understands that the price of some products in the upstream of Henan Kaijie water treatment Co., Ltd. has been stable since the rainstorm. In terms of logistics, it is difficult to find cars now. Moreover, some sections are inconvenient to pass. ” Referring to the future, manager Wang said that due to the recent continuous increase in the price of acrylic acid, the subsequent price of polyacrylamide may rise, and the prices of brown corundum and ferrous sulfate also show some signs of rising.

Acrylic acid is one of the raw materials used in the production of anionic and non-ionic polyacrylamide. According to the data monitoring of business society, the market price of acrylic acid has continued to rise slightly since the 20th: the mainstream quotation on the 20th was 12150 yuan / ton, and the mainstream quotation on the 28th was 13750 yuan / ton, an increase of about 13%. As shown in the figure:

Acrylonitrile, as the main raw material of polyacrylamide, increased by 50 yuan / ton in the middle of the year, and the mainstream market quotation was about 14750 yuan / ton until the end of the month. Recently, despite the frequent occurrence of extreme weather, the domestic acrylonitrile production capacity has not been significantly affected. The delayed shipping schedule will arrive in Hong Kong at the end of this month or early next month. With the production plan of Zhejiang Petrochemical phase II next month, the overall supply of acrylonitrile is increasing. Limited by the downstream demand with limited growth, the future acrylonitrile market is generally weak.

Secondly, liquefied natural gas is used in the production process.

region Specifications July 27th July 1st Rise and fall

Inner Mongolia liquified natural gas 4680-4900 3450-3800 + 1230/+1100

Shaanxi liquified natural gas 4750-5050 3670-3800 + 1080/+1250

Shanxi liquified natural gas 4850-4950 3600-3800 + 1250/+1150

Ningxia liquified natural gas 4780-4880 3680-3850 + 1100/+1030

Henan liquified natural gas 5000-5210 3670-3850 + 1330/+1360

Hebei liquified natural gas 4950-5200 3750-3950 + 1200/+1250

Sichuan liquified natural gas 4600-5000 3500-3900 + 1100/+1100

The sharp rise of liquid price in July was mainly due to the increase of cost, the decrease of market supply, the increase of demand in high temperature weather, and the continuous rise of air intake. Multiple positive factors superimposed to support the sharp rise of domestic LNG price. The liquid price in various places increased by more than 1000 yuan within the month, and the center of gravity shifted significantly upward. In the second half of the month, the domestic LNG market continued to rise in the off-season. On the 16th, the domestic mainstream quotation was 4506.67 yuan / ton, and on the 30th, the mainstream quotation was 5146.67 yuan / ton, an increase of 21.19%, which was very eye-catching in the off-season of traditional consumption. Recently, there have been heavy rainstorms in many places, affecting the logistics in some areas, the market supply continues to decrease, the manufacturer’s inventory is not under pressure, and the psychology of pushing up the price is still. According to the current situation, the domestic LNG market is easy to rise but difficult to fall.

Downstream demand: at the beginning of the third quarter, the downstream demand did not improve significantly. The production in the main production areas was affected to a certain extent due to the rainstorm, and the inventory of some enterprises was consumed; Although the production is suspended for about a week, due to road damage, short-term repair is difficult, logistics and transportation are limited, raw material procurement and finished product delivery are affected, and the demand and consumption rate of polyacrylamide will slow down.

Future forecast: according to the analysis of the business society, since the third quarter, the production has been interrupted for a short time due to the rainstorm, the transportation has been blocked, the prices of some raw materials have risen, and the production cost may rise. For enterprises with small inventory, production pressure increases; For enterprises with high inventory, there is still room for price reduction and shipment. The downstream demand has not improved much this month. The small change in price comes from the high and low inventory of products and raw materials, and the market is stable and weak. In the future, considering the strong impact of the above factors and the future trend of LNG, the polyacrylamide market may fluctuate to some extent, the ex factory prices of some manufacturers may rise slightly, and the trading enterprises with high inventory will have a larger price range.

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In July, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid was temporarily stable

According to the monitoring of business agency, the price trend of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid was temporarily stable in July. By the end of the month, the market price of hydrofluoric acid was 10020 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the month, with a year-on-year increase of 11.09%.

In July, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid was temporarily stable. Up to now, the mainstream price negotiated in various regions of domestic hydrofluoric acid is 9500-9800 yuan / ton. The quotation of some manufacturers is higher than the market price. The actual transaction market on the floor is normal. The price of domestic hydrofluoric acid is mainly stable. The spot supply of domestic hydrofluoric acid is slightly tight, and the price trend on the floor is temporarily stable.

In July, the domestic spot supply of hydrofluoric acid was slightly tight, and some hydrofluoric acid units in the site operated stably, but the price of fluorite, the upstream raw material of hydrofluoric acid, fell slightly. So far, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation in the south is 9500-9800 yuan / ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the north market is 9400-9800 yuan / ton. In July, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid market was mainly stable, and the manufacturers reported that the recent delivery was normal, and there was no lack of upward trend in the later stage.

In July, the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid raw material fluorite decreased slightly. As of the end of the month, the domestic fluorite price was 2611.11 yuan / ton, with a price decrease of 1.05%. Recently, the domestic spot supply of fluorite was normal, and the units of some manufacturers in the North operated normally. However, recently, the environmental protection supervision was strict, and the affected units in some areas stopped. Generally speaking, there was little change in the supply in the yard, The price trend of domestic fluorite decreased slightly in July. By the end of the month, the mainstream of domestic fluorite negotiation was 2400-2600 yuan / ton. The decline in the price of fluorite in the venue was a negative impact on the hydrofluoric acid market, and the price of domestic hydrofluoric acid market was temporarily stable.

In July, the price trend of domestic downstream refrigerant products fell, the operating rate of the refrigerant industry in the field was not high, the sales of the automobile industry fell recently, the refrigerant market trend fell, the demand was mainly based on demand, and the price of the refrigerant industry decreased slightly. However, the manufacturers were under pressure to ship, the sales pressure was high, the operation of the refrigerant industry was low, and the market demand for hydrofluoric acid was limited. On the whole, the refrigerant market is dominated by negative factors, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid and chloroform is stable, resulting in pressure on the refrigerant industry. At present, the load of refrigerant R22 manufacturer is not high, the inventory is within a reasonable range, and the market price trend drops slightly, but the downstream receiving capacity is limited, there is a lot of wait-and-see mood, the shipment of cargo carriers is normal, some merchants still have cost inversion, and the mainstream of on-site negotiation is 16000-16300 yuan / ton. Domestic R134a manufacturers operate at low load, and the price trend of R134a is declining. However, at present, the procurement is mainly based on demand, the operation of downstream enterprises is not high, and traders are in a strong wait-and-see mood. At present, the market quotation of refrigerant R134a is mostly in the range of 20000-21000 yuan / ton, but the transaction atmosphere is general, the market trend of downstream refrigerant is declining, and the price trend of fluorite is declining slightly, However, the supply of goods in the hydrofluoric acid market is slightly tight, and the price trend is temporarily stable.

From the industrial chain chart, the price trend of fluorochemical industry is declining, the price of raw fluorite is lower, and the price of downstream refrigerant products is declining. In addition, the recent stable operation of domestic hydrofluoric acid units and a slight shortage of on-site spot supply. Chen Ling, hydrofluoric acid analyst of business society, believes that the market price of hydrofluoric acid may rise slightly.

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The PC market is mainly stable

According to the data monitored by the business society, as of July 28, the comprehensive price of PC market was 25125.00 yuan / ton. PC has been stable and fluctuated in a narrow range recently. The price has increased by 4.36% compared with the same period last week and 4.18% compared with the same period last month. The manufacturer has positive shipment, smooth logistics, general enthusiasm for downstream procurement, and maintains strong operation in the short term.

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The overall market price of PC has increased slightly, the focus of negotiation is stable, the PC market is mainly high and volatile, the upstream decline is running, and the PC cost pressure is increasing. At present, the supply side is normal, the downstream demand is general, the wait-and-see atmosphere still exists, and there is a strong shock in the short term.

The price of upstream bisphenol A fell, the downstream demand was cold, the overall market wait-and-see atmosphere was strong, and the weak operation was maintained in the short term.

On July 27, the bisphenol a commodity index was 245.98, down 4.16 points from yesterday, down 13.14% from the highest point of 283.19 in the cycle (2021-04-16), and up 241.21% from the lowest point of 72.09 on April 6, 2020( Note: period refers to 2020-03-01 to now)

Business community PC analysts believe that: the PC market is expected to be stable and fluctuate in a narrow range( If you want to get more information about goods and master the price of goods, you can subscribe to the business community through the official account of the business community.

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Stable trend of PMMA Market

According to the data monitored by the business community, as of July 27, the average price of PMMA of domestic general transparent superior products was 16975.00 yuan / ton, the overall market maintained a stable operation, the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers maintained about 17000 yuan / ton, the focus of negotiation was stable, the downstream just needed procurement, and maintained a stable trend in the short term.

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Domestic PMMA operates smoothly with general transaction atmosphere. The downstream just needs to purchase and the negotiation atmosphere is flat. Some manufacturers supply tight spot goods. The upstream MMA operates smoothly with just needs to purchase and real orders and real negotiations.

PMMA analysts of business agency believe that PMMA market will be sorted and operated in the short term( If you want to get more information about goods and master the price of goods, you can subscribe to the business community through the official account of the business community.

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